09:30 | 27/09/2018 Economy- Society
The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has revised down its GDP growth forecast for Vietnam in 2018 to 6.9 percent from a previous estimate of 7.1 pct but noted that Vietnam’s economy continued to perform strongly despite domestic and external challenges.
|Vietnam's economy continued to perform strongly in the first half of 2018 - Photo: Doanh nhan Sai Gon|
In its latest report released on September 26, the ADB lowered Vietnam’s growth forecast as exports, agriculture, construction and mining are expected to moderate in the second half of the year.
However, the ADB’s figure is still higher than the target of 6.7 pct aimed for by the Vietnamese government.
The economy expanded by 7.08 pct in the first half of 2018 and the full-year target of 6.7 pct is highly likely to be met, said the Ministry of Planning and Investment earlier this week.
Vietnam’s economic performance was broad-based, driven by vigorous manufacturing growth, bumper agriculture production, robust services performance, resilient domestic consumption and strong investment fueled by FDI and domestic enterprises, said ADB economist Eric Sidgwick.
He added that economic growth is likely to hold up well in the near term buoyed by resilient domestic demand, improved business conditions, and a stable macroeconomic environment.
Vietnam’s economy, however, remains vulnerable to external and domestic challenges.
Growth moderation in the major economies such as China, the EU and Japan may dampen the aggregated demand of global trade while escalating trade frictions around the world could adversely impact the export performance and FDI inflows to Vietnam.
At home, inflationary pressure is likely to persist over the near term because of increases in global oil and food prices.
The ADB revised Vietnam’s inflation to 4.0 pct in 2018 and 4.5 pct for 2019, up from the April estimates of 3.7 pct and 4.0 pct, respectively.